Location map of Tameside on the UK map

Council · Metropolitan borough

Tameside

No overall control. Labour largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Labour largest party

Council size: 57 seats · 19 up on May 7

Reform UK

19 of 57 seats

Won 18 on May 7 · had 1 before

Next election

May 2027

By thirds, three years in four.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
25
Reform UK
19
Independent / Other
9
Conservative
5

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Tameside

37% 7 / 19 winners called correctly across this council's wards
8.57pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-10.37pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
13
Conservative
2
Reform UK
2
Green Party
1
Independent
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Ashton Hurst Conservative Reform UK 28.2% high
Ashton St Michael's Labour Reform UK 34.3% high
Ashton Waterloo Green Party Reform UK 40.8% high
Audenshaw Labour Reform UK 29.4% high
Denton North East Labour Reform UK 42.4% high
Denton South Labour Reform UK 42.4% high
Denton West Labour Reform UK 44.5% high
Droylsden East Labour Reform UK 44.2% high
Droylsden West Labour Reform UK 37.4% high
Dukinfield Labour Reform UK 39.8% high
Dukinfield Stalybridge Labour Reform UK 29.9% high
Hyde Godley Labour Reform UK 28.7% high
Hyde Newton Labour Reform UK 34.8% high
Hyde Werneth Reform UK Reform UK 28.2% high
Longdendale Reform UK Reform UK 50.7% high
Mossley Labour Reform UK 40.9% high
St Peter's Independent Independent 41.6% high
Stalybridge North Labour Reform UK 43.2% high
Stalybridge South Conservative Reform UK 35.2% high

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