After May 7
No overall control. Labour largest party
Council size: 57 seats · 19 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Tameside
No overall control. Labour largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
19 of 57 seats
Won 18 on May 7 · had 1 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Tameside
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Hurst | Conservative | Reform UK | 28.9% | high |
| Ashton St Michael's | Labour | Reform UK | 35.7% | high |
| Ashton Waterloo | Green Party | Reform UK | 38.1% | high |
| Audenshaw | Labour | Reform UK | 31.4% | high |
| Denton North East | Labour | Reform UK | 45.1% | high |
| Denton South | Labour | Reform UK | 44.5% | high |
| Denton West | Labour | Reform UK | 46.6% | high |
| Droylsden East | Labour | Reform UK | 47.0% | high |
| Droylsden West | Labour | Reform UK | 39.7% | high |
| Dukinfield | Labour | Reform UK | 42.4% | high |
| Dukinfield Stalybridge | Labour | Reform UK | 31.6% | high |
| Hyde Godley | Labour | Reform UK | 30.2% | high |
| Hyde Newton | Labour | Reform UK | 36.7% | high |
| Hyde Werneth | Reform UK | Reform UK | 27.7% | high |
| Longdendale | Reform UK | Reform UK | 49.9% | high |
| Mossley | Labour | Reform UK | 43.1% | high |
| St Peter's | Independent | Independent | 41.0% | high |
| Stalybridge North | Labour | Reform UK | 44.9% | high |
| Stalybridge South | Conservative | Reform UK | 36.1% | high |