After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 63 seats · 21 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Trafford
Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
2 of 63 seats
Won 2 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Trafford
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altrincham | Green Party | Green Party | 47.5% | high |
| Ashton upon Mersey | Labour | Labour | 33.9% | high |
| Bowdon | Green Party | Conservative | 30.9% | high |
| Broadheath | Conservative | Conservative | 27.3% | high |
| Brooklands | Labour | Labour | 30.5% | high |
| Bucklow-St Martins | Labour | Reform UK | 43.2% | high |
| Davyhulme | Labour | Reform UK | 34.7% | medium |
| Flixton | Labour | Labour | 35.3% | high |
| Gorse Hill & Cornbrook | Labour | Green Party | 39.8% | medium |
| Hale | Conservative | Conservative | 31.5% | medium |
| Hale Barns & Timperley South | Conservative | Conservative | 36.1% | medium |
| Longford | Labour | Green Party | 38.3% | high |
| Lostock & Barton | Labour | Labour | 38.6% | medium |
| Manor | Conservative | Conservative | 30.5% | medium |
| Old Trafford | Labour | Green Party | 33.6% | medium |
| Sale Central | Labour | Labour | 39.1% | medium |
| Sale Moor | Labour | Labour | 36.3% | high |
| Stretford & Humphrey Park | Labour | Labour | 38.6% | medium |
| Timperley Central | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 38.4% | medium |
| Timperley North | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 41.1% | medium |
| Urmston | Labour | Labour | 35.5% | high |