After May 7
Reform UK majority
Council size: 63 seats · 63 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Reform UK majority after May 7 2026. (Majority gained, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
Reform UK majority
Council size: 63 seats · 63 up on May 7
Reform UK
58 of 63 seats
Won 58 on May 7 · had 0 before · majority
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years.
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ackworth, North Elmsall & Upton | Reform UK | Reform UK | 39.8% | low |
| Airedale & Ferry Fryston | Reform UK | Reform UK | 43.4% | low |
| Altofts & Whitwood | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.0% | low |
| Castleford Central & Glasshoughton | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.0% | low |
| Crofton, Ryhill & Walton | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.0% | low |
| Featherstone | Labour | Reform UK | 41.1% | high |
| Hemsworth | Labour | Reform UK | 33.4% | high |
| Horbury & South Ossett | Reform UK | Reform UK | 39.8% | low |
| Knottingley & Ferrybridge | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.0% | low |
| Normanton | Labour | Reform UK | 35.2% | high |
| Ossett | Labour | Reform UK | 37.7% | high |
| Pontefract North | Labour | Reform UK | 43.8% | high |
| Pontefract South | Labour | Reform UK | 32.8% | high |
| South Elmsall & South Kirkby | Reform UK | Reform UK | 39.8% | low |
| Stanley & Outwood East | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.0% | low |
| Wakefield East | Labour | Reform UK | 34.1% | high |
| Wakefield North | Labour | Reform UK | 34.3% | high |
| Wakefield Rural | Reform UK | Reform UK | 31.5% | high |
| Wakefield South | Reform UK | Reform UK | 30.8% | high |
| Wakefield West | Labour | Reform UK | 32.0% | high |
| Wrenthorpe & Outwood West | Reform UK | Reform UK | 39.8% | low |