Location map of Wakefield on the UK map

Council · Metropolitan borough

Wakefield

Reform UK majority after May 7 2026. (Majority gained, previously Labour)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Reform UK majority

Council size: 63 seats · 63 up on May 7

Reform UK

58 of 63 seats

Won 58 on May 7 · had 0 before · majority

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Reform UK
58
Lib Dem
2
Conservative
1
Labour
1
Green Party
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Wakefield

76% 16 / 21 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.97pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-9.32pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
21
Labour
21
Green Party
15
Conservative
5
Lib Dem
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Ackworth, North Elmsall & Upton Reform UK Reform UK 39.8% low
Airedale & Ferry Fryston Reform UK Reform UK 43.4% low
Altofts & Whitwood Reform UK Reform UK 40.0% low
Castleford Central & Glasshoughton Reform UK Reform UK 40.0% low
Crofton, Ryhill & Walton Reform UK Reform UK 40.0% low
Featherstone Labour Reform UK 41.1% high
Hemsworth Labour Reform UK 33.4% high
Horbury & South Ossett Reform UK Reform UK 39.8% low
Knottingley & Ferrybridge Reform UK Reform UK 40.0% low
Normanton Labour Reform UK 35.2% high
Ossett Labour Reform UK 37.7% high
Pontefract North Labour Reform UK 43.8% high
Pontefract South Labour Reform UK 32.8% high
South Elmsall & South Kirkby Reform UK Reform UK 39.8% low
Stanley & Outwood East Reform UK Reform UK 40.0% low
Wakefield East Labour Reform UK 34.1% high
Wakefield North Labour Reform UK 34.3% high
Wakefield Rural Reform UK Reform UK 31.5% high
Wakefield South Reform UK Reform UK 30.8% high
Wakefield West Labour Reform UK 32.0% high
Wrenthorpe & Outwood West Reform UK Reform UK 39.8% low

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