Location map of Walsall on the UK map

Council · Metropolitan borough

Walsall

Reform UK majority after May 7 2026. (Majority gained, previously Conservative)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Reform UK majority

Council size: 60 seats · 60 up on May 7

Reform UK

40 of 60 seats

Won 40 on May 7 · had 0 before · majority

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Reform UK
40
Conservative
10
Independent / Other
9
Labour
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Walsall

45% 9 / 20 winners called correctly across this council's wards
8.54pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-5.53pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
20
Labour
20
Conservative
13
Independent
7

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Aldridge Central & South Reform UK Conservative 41.4% low
Aldridge North & Walsall Wood Reform UK Reform UK 33.0% low
Beechdale, Leamore & Reedswood Reform UK Reform UK 33.0% low
Bentley & Darlaston North Reform UK Reform UK 33.0% low
Bloxwich East & Blakenall Heath Reform UK Reform UK 41.4% low
Bloxwich West Conservative Reform UK 44.6% high
Brownhills Conservative Reform UK 44.9% high
Darlaston South Labour Reform UK 55.4% high
Harden, Goscote & Ryecroft Reform UK Reform UK 33.0% low
New Invention Reform UK Reform UK 36.9% low
Paddock Conservative Conservative 38.3% high
Palfrey & The Delves Reform UK Walsall Community Independents Party 33.0% low
Pelsall Conservative Reform UK 43.3% high
Pheasey Park Farm Conservative Reform UK 49.7% high
Pleck Independent Walsall Community Independents Party 36.9% high
Rushall-Shelfield Conservative Reform UK 38.1% high
Short Heath Conservative Reform UK 42.5% high
St Matthew's Labour Walsall Community Independents Party 28.7% high
Streetly Conservative Reform UK 50.2% high
Willenhall Reform UK Reform UK 41.0% low

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