After May 7
Reform UK majority
Council size: 60 seats · 60 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Reform UK majority after May 7 2026. (Majority gained, previously Conservative)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
Reform UK majority
Council size: 60 seats · 60 up on May 7
Reform UK
40 of 60 seats
Won 40 on May 7 · had 0 before · majority
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years.
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldridge Central & South | Reform UK | Conservative | 46.7% | low |
| Aldridge North & Walsall Wood | Reform UK | Reform UK | 37.5% | low |
| Beechdale, Leamore & Reedswood | Reform UK | Reform UK | 37.5% | low |
| Bentley & Darlaston North | Reform UK | Reform UK | 37.5% | low |
| Bloxwich East & Blakenall Heath | Reform UK | Reform UK | 46.7% | low |
| Bloxwich West | Conservative | Reform UK | 44.4% | high |
| Brownhills | Conservative | Reform UK | 44.5% | high |
| Darlaston South | Labour | Reform UK | 53.4% | high |
| Harden, Goscote & Ryecroft | Reform UK | Reform UK | 37.5% | low |
| New Invention | Reform UK | Reform UK | 42.7% | low |
| Paddock | Conservative | Conservative | 37.8% | high |
| Palfrey & The Delves | Reform UK | Walsall Community Independents Party | 37.5% | low |
| Pelsall | Conservative | Reform UK | 42.1% | high |
| Pheasey Park Farm | Conservative | Reform UK | 49.3% | high |
| Pleck | Independent | Walsall Community Independents Party | 37.0% | high |
| Rushall-Shelfield | Conservative | Reform UK | 37.6% | high |
| Short Heath | Conservative | Reform UK | 41.8% | high |
| St Matthew's | Labour | Walsall Community Independents Party | 27.4% | high |
| Streetly | Conservative | Reform UK | 49.5% | high |
| Willenhall | Reform UK | Reform UK | 45.4% | low |