Location map of Waltham Forest on the UK map

Council · London borough

Waltham Forest

Green Party majority after May 7 2026. (Majority gained, previously Labour)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Green Party majority

Council size: 60 seats · 60 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 60 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Green Party
31
Conservative
14
Labour
11
Independent / Other
3

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Waltham Forest

59% 13 / 22 winners called correctly across this council's wards
9.61pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+11.41pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
22
Reform UK
18
Green Party
13
Conservative
5
Lib Dem
2

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Cann Hall Labour Green Party 35.6% medium
Cathall Labour Labour 38.8% medium
Chapel End Labour Green Party 31.8% medium
Chingford Green Conservative Conservative 35.7% medium
Endlebury Conservative Conservative 44.6% medium
Forest Labour Green Party 33.8% medium
Grove Green Labour Green Party 28.3% medium
Hale End & Highams Park South Labour Labour 34.1% medium
Hatch Lane & Highams Park North Reform UK Conservative 29.6% medium
High Street Reform UK Green Party 27.4% medium
Higham Hill Labour Green Party 39.7% medium
Hoe Street Labour Labour 31.9% medium
Larkswood Conservative Conservative 33.4% medium
Lea Bridge Labour Green Party 43.2% medium
Leyton Labour Green Party 32.7% medium
Leytonstone Labour Labour 35.2% medium
Markhouse Labour Labour 40.9% medium
St James Green Party Green Party 27.5% medium
Upper Walthamstow Labour Labour Co-operative 32.4% medium
Valley Conservative Conservative 35.1% medium
William Morris Labour Labour Co-operative 36.1% medium
Wood Street Labour Labour 39.7% medium

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