Council · District council

Watford Borough Council

Liberal Democrats majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

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What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Liberal Democrats majority

Council size: 36 seats · 12 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 36 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Lib Dem

Labour

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when Watford Borough Council next votes

Watford Borough Council sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Watford Borough Council

92% 12 / 13 winners called correctly across this council's wards

7.37pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share

-3.74pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Lib Dem

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward	Our top pick	Actual winner	Predicted share	Confidence
Callowland	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	42.0%	high
Central	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	47.7%	high
Holywell	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	26.3%	high
Leggatts	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	27.5%	high
Meriden	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	43.9%	high
Nascot	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	53.6%	high
Oxhey	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	49.0%	high
Park	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	50.4%	high
Stanborough	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	40.4%	high
Tudor	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	39.9%	high
Vicarage	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	28.1%	high
Watford Borough Council	Reform UK	Lib Dem	30.0%	low
Woodside	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	36.5%	high

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