Council · Unitary authority

West Northamptonshire

Reform UK majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Reform UK majority

Council size: 76 seats · 1 up on May 7

Reform UK

42 of 76 seats

Won 1 on May 7 · had 42 before · majority

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years.

Post-May 7 composition

Reform UK

Conservative

Labour

Lib Dem

Independent / Other

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

100% 1 / 1 winners called correctly across this council's wards

6.07pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share

+8.00pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

Reform UK

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Ward	Our top pick	Actual winner	Predicted share	Confidence
Hackleton & Roade	Reform UK	Reform UK	34.8%	medium