After May 7
No overall control
Council · Council
West Surrey
No overall control after May 7 2026.
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
0 of n/a seats
Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
TBC
Council not yet classified.
Local Government Reorganisation
Why we don't yet know when West Surrey next votes
West Surrey sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.
We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for West Surrey
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addlestone | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.4% | low |
| Ash | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| Ashford | Reform UK | Independent | 34.2% | low |
| Bagshot, Windlesham & Chobham | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Camberley East | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Camberley West & Frimley | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Chertsey | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.4% | low |
| Cranleigh & Ewhurst | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Egham | Reform UK | Runnymede Independent Residents' Group | 34.2% | low |
| Englefield Green & Virginia Water | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.4% | low |
| Farnham Central | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| Farnham North | Reform UK | Farnham Residents | 34.0% | low |
| Farnham South | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.0% | low |
| Frimley Green & Mytchett | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Godalming North | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Godalming South, Milford & Witley | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| Goldsworth East & Horsell Village | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Guildford East | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Guildford North | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Guildford South East | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| Guildford South West | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Guildford West | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| Haslemere | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Heatherside & Parkside | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Horsleys | Reform UK | Residents for Guildford and Villages | 34.2% | low |
| Knaphill & Goldsworth West | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 41.5% | low |
| Laleham & Shepperton | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.4% | low |
| Lightwater, West End & Bisley | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| Lower Sunbury & Halliford | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Shalford | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.4% | low |
| Shere | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.4% | low |
| Staines | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.0% | low |
| Staines South & Ashford West | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.2% | low |
| Stanwell, Stanwell Moor & Ashford North | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.4% | low |
| Sunbury Common & Ashford Common | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.0% | low |
| The Byfleets | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 40.8% | low |
| Thorpe, Longcross & Ottershaw | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.2% | low |
| Waverley Eastern Villages | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.4% | low |
| Waverley Western Villages | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| Woking North | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 40.6% | low |
| Woking South | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 41.5% | low |
| Woking South East | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | low |
| Woking South West | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| Woodham & New Haw | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.4% | low |
| Worplesdon | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.4% | low |