After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 75 seats · 25 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 75 seats · 25 up on May 7
Reform UK
24 of 75 seats
Won 24 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abram | Labour | Reform UK | 43.9% | high |
| Ashton-in-Makerfield South | Labour | Reform UK | 51.6% | medium |
| Aspull, New Springs & Whelley | Labour | Reform UK | 40.5% | high |
| Astley | Reform UK | Reform UK | 30.8% | medium |
| Atherton North | Independent | Independent | 34.1% | medium |
| Atherton South & Lilford | Labour | Reform UK | 30.9% | medium |
| Bryn with Ashton-in-Makerfield North | Labour | Reform UK | 47.0% | medium |
| Douglas | Labour | Reform UK | 40.5% | high |
| Golborne & Lowton West | Labour | Reform UK | 39.9% | medium |
| Hindley | Labour | Reform UK | 35.0% | high |
| Hindley Green | Labour | Reform UK | 48.9% | high |
| Ince | Independent | Reform UK | 31.4% | high |
| Leigh Central & Higher Folds | Labour | Reform UK | 32.3% | medium |
| Leigh South | Reform UK | Reform UK | 30.9% | high |
| Leigh West | Labour | Reform UK | 47.6% | high |
| Lowton East | Conservative | Reform UK | 34.1% | high |
| Orrell | Labour | Reform UK | 32.8% | high |
| Pemberton | Labour | Reform UK | 46.6% | high |
| Shevington with Lower Ground & Moor | Labour | Reform UK | 35.1% | medium |
| Standish with Langtree | Reform UK | Reform UK | 30.6% | high |
| Tyldesley & Mosley Common | Independent | Reform UK | 31.8% | medium |
| Wigan Central | Reform UK | Reform UK | 50.6% | high |
| Wigan West | Labour | Reform UK | 42.1% | high |
| Winstanley | Labour | Reform UK | 41.1% | high |
| Worsley Mesnes | Labour | Reform UK | 43.7% | high |