Location map of Wigan on the UK map

Council · Metropolitan borough

Wigan

Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Labour majority

Council size: 75 seats · 25 up on May 7

Reform UK

24 of 75 seats

Won 24 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2027

By thirds, three years in four.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
42
Reform UK
24
Independent / Other
8
Conservative
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Wigan

52% 13 / 25 winners called correctly across this council's wards
7.85pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-12.05pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
17
Reform UK
4
Independent
3
Conservative
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Abram Labour Reform UK 43.9% high
Ashton-in-Makerfield South Labour Reform UK 51.6% medium
Aspull, New Springs & Whelley Labour Reform UK 40.5% high
Astley Reform UK Reform UK 30.8% medium
Atherton North Independent Independent 34.1% medium
Atherton South & Lilford Labour Reform UK 30.9% medium
Bryn with Ashton-in-Makerfield North Labour Reform UK 47.0% medium
Douglas Labour Reform UK 40.5% high
Golborne & Lowton West Labour Reform UK 39.9% medium
Hindley Labour Reform UK 35.0% high
Hindley Green Labour Reform UK 48.9% high
Ince Independent Reform UK 31.4% high
Leigh Central & Higher Folds Labour Reform UK 32.3% medium
Leigh South Reform UK Reform UK 30.9% high
Leigh West Labour Reform UK 47.6% high
Lowton East Conservative Reform UK 34.1% high
Orrell Labour Reform UK 32.8% high
Pemberton Labour Reform UK 46.6% high
Shevington with Lower Ground & Moor Labour Reform UK 35.1% medium
Standish with Langtree Reform UK Reform UK 30.6% high
Tyldesley & Mosley Common Independent Reform UK 31.8% medium
Wigan Central Reform UK Reform UK 50.6% high
Wigan West Labour Reform UK 42.1% high
Winstanley Labour Reform UK 41.1% high
Worsley Mesnes Labour Reform UK 43.7% high

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