Location map of Wokingham on the UK map

Council · Unitary authority

Wokingham

Liberal Democrats majority after May 7 2026. (Majority gained, previously ncc)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Liberal Democrats majority

Council size: 54 seats · 19 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 54 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2027

By thirds, three years in four.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Lib Dem
29
Conservative
18
Labour
5
Independent / Other
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Wokingham

33% 6 / 18 winners called correctly across this council's wards
7.74pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+13.12pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
10
Conservative
5
Lib Dem
4

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Barkham & Arborfield Reform UK Lib Dem 28.5% medium
Bulmershe & Coronation Conservative Conservative 33.0% medium
Emmbrook Lib Dem Lib Dem 33.1% high
Evendons Lib Dem Lib Dem 33.3% high
Finchampstead Conservative Conservative 35.5% medium
Hawkedon Reform UK Lib Dem 29.1% high
Hillside Reform UK Lib Dem 28.8% high
Loddon Conservative Conservative 30.7% high
Maiden Erlegh & Whitegates Reform UK Lib Dem 29.0% medium
Norreys Reform UK Labour 29.1% high
Shinfield Conservative Conservative 38.7% medium
South Lake Reform UK Lib Dem 29.0% high
Spencers Wood & Swallowfield Reform UK Lib Dem 28.6% medium
Thames Reform UK Conservative 29.0% medium
Twyford, Ruscombe & Hurst Lib Dem Lib Dem 37.7% medium
Wescott Reform UK Lib Dem 28.9% high
Winnersh Lib Dem Lib Dem 31.4% high
Wokingham Without Conservative Lib Dem 34.1% high

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