After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 60 seats · 21 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Wolverhampton
Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
13 of 60 seats
Won 12 on May 7 · had 1 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Wolverhampton
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilston North | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.9% | high |
| Bilston South | Labour | Reform UK | 51.1% | medium |
| Blakenhall | Labour | Labour | 49.9% | high |
| Bushbury North | Conservative | Reform UK | 40.8% | high |
| Bushbury South & Low Hill | Labour | Reform UK | 52.6% | medium |
| East Park | Labour | Reform UK | 44.3% | high |
| Ettingshall North | Labour | Labour | 57.6% | medium |
| Ettingshall South & Spring Vale | Labour | Reform UK | 49.6% | medium |
| Fallings Park | Labour | Reform UK | 40.8% | high |
| Graiseley | Labour | Labour | 42.5% | high |
| Heath Town | Labour | Labour | 45.7% | high |
| Merry Hill | Conservative | Reform UK | 33.2% | high |
| Oxley | Labour | Reform UK | 34.0% | high |
| Park | Labour | Labour | 37.7% | high |
| Penn | Conservative | Conservative | 40.4% | high |
| St Peters | Labour | Labour | 40.7% | high |
| Tettenhall Regis | Conservative | Conservative | 41.4% | high |
| Tettenhall Wightwick | Conservative | Conservative | 51.6% | high |
| Wednesfield North | Labour | Reform UK | 45.0% | high |
| Wednesfield South | Labour | Reform UK | 33.4% | high |