Location map of Havant on the UK map

Council · District council

Havant

No overall control. Reform UK largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Reform UK largest party

Council size: 36 seats · 12 up on May 7

Reform UK

10 of 36 seats

Won 9 on May 7 · had 2 before · largest party

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Reform UK
10
Conservative
8
Labour
8
Green Party
5
Lib Dem
3
Independent / Other
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when Havant next votes

Havant sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Havant

67% 8 / 12 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.75pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-3.76pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
4
Conservative
4
Green Party
2
Labour
1
Lib Dem
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Bedhampton Reform UK Reform UK 34.8% high
Cowplain Conservative Reform UK 40.7% high
Emsworth Green Party Green Party 46.5% high
Hart Plain Conservative Reform UK 36.2% high
Havant St Faith's Labour Labour 41.6% medium
Hayling East Green Party Reform UK 38.0% high
Hayling West Conservative Green Party 44.4% high
Leigh Park Central & West Leigh Reform UK Reform UK 48.7% medium
Leigh Park Hermitage Reform UK Reform UK 52.8% medium
Purbrook Lib Dem Reform UK 35.2% high
Stakes Reform UK Reform UK 35.9% high
Waterloo Conservative Reform UK 39.2% high

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