Council · County council

Hertfordshire

No overall control. Liberal Democrats largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Liberal Democrats largest party

Council size: 78 seats · 1 up on May 7

Reform UK

14 of 78 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 14 before

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Lib Dem
31
Conservative
23
Reform UK
14
Labour
5
Green Party
5
Independent / Other
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when Hertfordshire next votes

Hertfordshire sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Hertfordshire

0% 0 / 1 winners called correctly across this council's wards
3.08pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+4.58pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Flamstead End & Turnford Reform UK Conservative 39.4% high

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