After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 96 seats · 32 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Manchester
Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
7 of 96 seats
Won 7 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Manchester
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancoats & Beswick | Labour | Green Party | 34.8% | high |
| Ardwick | Labour | Green Party | 44.4% | high |
| Baguley | Labour | Reform UK | 39.3% | high |
| Brooklands | Labour | Reform UK | 46.0% | high |
| Burnage | Labour | Green Party | 40.8% | high |
| Charlestown | Labour | Reform UK | 50.0% | high |
| Cheetham | Labour | Labour | 41.8% | high |
| Chorlton | Labour | Green Party | 43.8% | high |
| Chorlton Park | Labour | Green Party | 47.6% | high |
| Clayton & Openshaw | Labour | Labour | 50.5% | high |
| Crumpsall | Labour | Labour | 52.2% | high |
| Deansgate | Labour | Green Party | 42.9% | high |
| Didsbury East | Labour | Labour | 36.5% | high |
| Didsbury West | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 35.3% | high |
| Fallowfield | Labour | Green Party | 40.9% | high |
| Gorton & Abbey Hey | Labour | Green Party | 47.9% | high |
| Harpurhey | Labour | Labour | 47.8% | high |
| Higher Blackley | Labour | Reform UK | 41.6% | high |
| Hulme | Labour | Green Party | 47.3% | high |
| Levenshulme | Labour | Green Party | 33.4% | high |
| Longsight | Labour | Green Party | 32.8% | high |
| Miles Platting & Newton Heath | Labour | Reform UK | 53.8% | high |
| Moss Side | Labour | Green Party | 42.2% | high |
| Moston | Labour | Reform UK | 49.7% | high |
| Northenden | Labour | Labour | 45.0% | high |
| Old Moat | Labour | Green Party | 48.6% | high |
| Piccadilly | Labour | Green Party | 39.6% | high |
| Rusholme | Labour | Green Party | 36.0% | high |
| Sharston | Labour | Reform UK | 48.5% | high |
| Whalley Range | Labour | Green Party | 40.5% | high |
| Withington | Labour | Green Party | 34.2% | high |
| Woodhouse Park | Green Party | Green Party | 45.4% | high |