After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 96 seats · 32 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Manchester
Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
7 of 96 seats
Won 7 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Manchester
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancoats & Beswick | Labour | Green Party | 32.3% | high |
| Ardwick | Labour | Green Party | 42.0% | high |
| Baguley | Labour | Reform UK | 37.2% | high |
| Brooklands | Labour | Reform UK | 43.6% | high |
| Burnage | Labour | Green Party | 38.6% | high |
| Charlestown | Labour | Reform UK | 47.1% | high |
| Cheetham | Labour | Labour | 39.8% | high |
| Chorlton | Labour | Green Party | 41.1% | high |
| Chorlton Park | Labour | Green Party | 44.9% | high |
| Clayton & Openshaw | Labour | Labour | 48.0% | high |
| Crumpsall | Labour | Labour | 49.4% | high |
| Deansgate | Labour | Green Party | 40.3% | high |
| Didsbury East | Labour | Labour | 34.1% | high |
| Didsbury West | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 37.3% | high |
| Fallowfield | Labour | Green Party | 38.5% | high |
| Gorton & Abbey Hey | Labour | Green Party | 45.3% | high |
| Harpurhey | Labour | Labour | 45.6% | high |
| Higher Blackley | Labour | Reform UK | 39.5% | high |
| Hulme | Labour | Green Party | 44.5% | high |
| Levenshulme | Labour | Green Party | 31.5% | high |
| Longsight | Labour | Green Party | 31.1% | high |
| Miles Platting & Newton Heath | Labour | Reform UK | 51.4% | high |
| Moss Side | Labour | Green Party | 39.4% | high |
| Moston | Labour | Reform UK | 46.8% | high |
| Northenden | Labour | Labour | 42.5% | high |
| Old Moat | Labour | Green Party | 45.9% | high |
| Piccadilly | Labour | Green Party | 36.9% | high |
| Rusholme | Labour | Green Party | 34.0% | high |
| Sharston | Labour | Reform UK | 46.1% | high |
| Whalley Range | Labour | Green Party | 38.2% | high |
| Withington | Labour | Green Party | 31.7% | high |
| Woodhouse Park | Green Party | Green Party | 47.6% | high |