After May 7
No overall control. Liberal Democrats largest party
Council size: 57 seats · 60 up on May 7
Council · Unitary authority
No overall control. Liberal Democrats largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
No overall control. Liberal Democrats largest party
Council size: 57 seats · 60 up on May 7
Reform UK
9 of 57 seats
Won 9 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years.
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bletchley Park & Fenny Stratford | Reform UK | Reform UK | 30.6% | low |
| Bletchley South | Reform UK | Reform UK | 30.7% | low |
| Bletchley West | Reform UK | Reform UK | 30.4% | high |
| Bradwell | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 45.3% | high |
| Broughton & Moulsoe | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 30.6% | low |
| Campbell Park & Willen | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 30.7% | low |
| Central Milton Keynes | Labour | Labour | 33.3% | high |
| Danesborough | Reform UK | Conservative | 30.7% | low |
| Furzton | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 30.7% | low |
| Great Linford | Reform UK | Labour | 30.6% | low |
| Hanslope | Reform UK | Conservative | 30.7% | low |
| New Bradwell | Reform UK | Labour | 30.7% | low |
| Newport Pagnell | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 30.7% | low |
| Olney & Rural | Reform UK | Conservative | 30.7% | low |
| Ouzel Valley | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 30.7% | low |
| Stony Stratford | Reform UK | Labour | 30.6% | high |
| Tattenhoe | Conservative | Conservative | 38.5% | high |
| Walton | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 30.7% | low |
| Watling | Reform UK | Conservative | 30.7% | low |
| Wolverton | Labour | Labour | 33.7% | high |
| Woughton & Fishermead | Labour | Labour | 39.7% | high |