Location map of Milton Keynes on the UK map

Council · Unitary authority

Milton Keynes

No overall control. Liberal Democrats largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Liberal Democrats largest party

Council size: 57 seats · 60 up on May 7

Reform UK

9 of 57 seats

Won 9 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Lib Dem
20
Labour
19
Conservative
12
Reform UK
9

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Milton Keynes

33% 7 / 21 winners called correctly across this council's wards
7.70pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+6.53pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
21
Labour
20
Conservative
17
Lib Dem
1
Green Party
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Bletchley Park & Fenny Stratford Reform UK Reform UK 30.6% low
Bletchley South Reform UK Reform UK 30.7% low
Bletchley West Reform UK Reform UK 30.4% high
Bradwell Lib Dem Lib Dem 45.3% high
Broughton & Moulsoe Reform UK Lib Dem 30.6% low
Campbell Park & Willen Reform UK Lib Dem 30.7% low
Central Milton Keynes Labour Labour 33.3% high
Danesborough Reform UK Conservative 30.7% low
Furzton Reform UK Lib Dem 30.7% low
Great Linford Reform UK Labour 30.6% low
Hanslope Reform UK Conservative 30.7% low
New Bradwell Reform UK Labour 30.7% low
Newport Pagnell Reform UK Lib Dem 30.7% low
Olney & Rural Reform UK Conservative 30.7% low
Ouzel Valley Reform UK Lib Dem 30.7% low
Stony Stratford Reform UK Labour 30.6% high
Tattenhoe Conservative Conservative 38.5% high
Walton Reform UK Lib Dem 30.7% low
Watling Reform UK Conservative 30.7% low
Wolverton Labour Labour 33.7% high
Woughton & Fishermead Labour Labour 39.7% high

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