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Council · Unitary authority

Plymouth

Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Labour majority

Council size: 57 seats · 19 up on May 7

Reform UK

14 of 57 seats

Won 14 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
30
Reform UK
14
Conservative
6
Independent / Other
4
Green Party
3

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Plymouth

68% 13 / 19 winners called correctly across this council's wards
5.96pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-1.03pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
18
Green Party
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Budshead Reform UK Reform UK 35.3% high
Compton Reform UK Reform UK 35.4% high
Devonport Reform UK Reform UK 36.2% high
Drake Reform UK Green Party 35.2% high
Efford and Lipson Reform UK Reform UK 36.0% high
Eggbuckland Reform UK Reform UK 35.0% high
Ham Reform UK Reform UK 36.0% high
Honicknowle Reform UK Reform UK 36.2% high
Moor View Reform UK Reform UK 35.6% high
Peverell Reform UK Labour 35.6% high
Plympton Chaddlewood Green Party Reform UK 39.0% high
Plympton St Mary Reform UK Reform UK 34.4% high
Plymstock Dunstone Reform UK Reform UK 35.3% high
Plymstock Radford Reform UK Conservative 35.1% high
Southway Reform UK Reform UK 35.5% high
St Budeaux Reform UK Reform UK 34.6% high
St Peter and the Waterfront Reform UK Reform UK 35.6% high
Stoke Reform UK Labour 35.9% high
Sutton and Mount Gould Reform UK Green Party 36.0% high

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