After May 7
No overall control. Independent / Other largest party
Council size: 63 seats · 63 up on May 7
Council · London borough
No overall control. Independent / Other largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
No overall control. Independent / Other largest party
Council size: 63 seats · 63 up on May 7
Reform UK
10 of 63 seats
Won 10 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldborough | Labour | Conservative | 34.4% | medium |
| Barkingside | Labour | Redbridge and Ilford Independents | 36.7% | medium |
| Bridge | Labour | Reform UK | 37.4% | medium |
| Chadwell | Labour | Labour | 34.6% | medium |
| Churchfields | Labour | Independent | 39.9% | medium |
| Clayhall | Labour | Redbridge and Ilford Independents | 39.5% | medium |
| Clementswood | Labour | Green Party | 47.9% | medium |
| Cranbrook | Labour | Conservative | 42.4% | medium |
| Fairlop | Labour | Reform UK | 34.4% | medium |
| Fullwell | Labour | Reform UK | 39.0% | medium |
| Goodmayes | Labour | Redbridge and Ilford Independents | 47.2% | medium |
| Hainault | Independent | Reform UK | 30.6% | medium |
| Ilford Town | Labour | Redbridge and Ilford Independents | 50.4% | medium |
| Loxford | Labour | Green Party | 52.8% | medium |
| Mayfield | Independent | Redbridge and Ilford Independents | 40.9% | medium |
| Monkhams | Conservative | Reform UK | 40.0% | medium |
| Newbury | Labour | Redbridge and Ilford Independents | 48.6% | medium |
| Seven Kings | Labour | Redbridge and Ilford Independents | 42.2% | medium |
| South Woodford | Labour | Conservative | 31.9% | medium |
| Valentines | Labour | Labour | 45.0% | medium |
| Wanstead Park | Labour | Green Party | 44.6% | medium |
| Wanstead Village | Labour | Green Party | 35.5% | medium |