Location map of Redbridge on the UK map

Council · London borough

Redbridge

No overall control. Independent / Other largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Independent / Other largest party

Council size: 63 seats · 63 up on May 7

Reform UK

10 of 63 seats

Won 10 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Independent / Other
23
Labour
16
Green Party
11
Reform UK
10
Conservative
3

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Redbridge

14% 3 / 22 winners called correctly across this council's wards
9.23pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-5.33pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
22
Reform UK
18
Conservative
16
Green Party
4
Independent
3

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Aldborough Labour Conservative 31.4% medium
Barkingside Labour Redbridge and Ilford Independents 35.0% medium
Bridge Labour Reform UK 32.7% medium
Chadwell Labour Labour 30.9% medium
Churchfields Labour Independent 37.9% medium
Clayhall Labour Redbridge and Ilford Independents 36.9% medium
Clementswood Labour Green Party 43.8% medium
Cranbrook Labour Conservative 39.8% medium
Fairlop Labour Reform UK 31.5% medium
Fullwell Labour Reform UK 36.1% medium
Goodmayes Labour Redbridge and Ilford Independents 43.6% medium
Hainault Independent Reform UK 30.8% medium
Ilford Town Labour Redbridge and Ilford Independents 46.7% medium
Loxford Labour Green Party 49.5% medium
Mayfield Independent Redbridge and Ilford Independents 40.6% medium
Monkhams Conservative Reform UK 37.8% medium
Newbury Labour Redbridge and Ilford Independents 46.0% medium
Seven Kings Labour Redbridge and Ilford Independents 38.7% medium
South Woodford Labour Conservative 28.7% medium
Valentines Labour Labour 42.1% medium
Wanstead Park Labour Green Party 37.8% medium
Wanstead Village Labour Green Party 31.7% medium

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