After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 66 seats · 66 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Sefton
Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
5 of 66 seats
Won 5 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Sefton
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ainsdale | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 35.8% | high |
| Aintree & Maghull South | Labour | Labour | 41.5% | low |
| Birkdale | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 33.1% | high |
| Blundellsands | Labour | Labour | 34.4% | high |
| Bootle East | Labour | Labour | 34.5% | low |
| Bootle West | Labour | Labour | 34.5% | low |
| Cambridge | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 31.0% | high |
| Duke's | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 30.9% | high |
| Ford | Labour | Labour | 53.9% | high |
| Formby East | Labour | Labour | 34.5% | low |
| Formby West | Labour | Labour | 34.5% | low |
| Great Crosby | Labour | Labour | 34.8% | low |
| Kew | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 32.2% | high |
| Litherland | Labour | Labour | 35.4% | high |
| Lydiate & Maghull West | Labour | Lydiate and Maghull Community Independents | 41.5% | low |
| Maghull East | Labour | Labour | 41.5% | low |
| Meols | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 31.1% | high |
| Netherton North | Labour | Labour | 34.5% | low |
| Netherton South & Orrell | Labour | Labour | 34.8% | low |
| Norwood | Reform UK | Reform UK | 31.8% | high |
| Thornton & Hightown | Labour | Labour | 34.8% | low |
| Waterloo | Labour | Green Party | 37.5% | low |